Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.480886 0.550925 0.626764 0.714880 0.814333 0.922993 1.050594
2025-03-30 0.363539 0.455769 0.563999 0.699940 0.865653 1.060597 1.306780
2025-04-06 0.289492 0.394537 0.527264 0.706210 0.939960 1.233578 1.628806
2025-04-13 0.224645 0.331520 0.476344 0.684991 0.975554 1.363128 1.915931
2025-04-20 0.189169 0.300321 0.460860 0.706419 1.068513 1.577861 2.342221
2025-04-27 0.162739 0.276598 0.451068 0.733039 1.171057 1.817493 2.832769
2025-05-04 0.137506 0.249504 0.431075 0.740191 1.244389 2.022426 3.296847
2025-05-11 0.115940 0.223968 0.408756 0.739190 1.303366 2.210809 3.756053
2025-05-18 0.098547 0.202106 0.388512 0.737639 1.359773 2.399734 4.235309
2025-05-25 0.085004 0.184550 0.372593 0.740457 1.422678 2.604557 4.760802
2025-06-01 0.074414 0.170571 0.360711 0.748241 1.494263 2.830308 5.343564
2025-06-08 0.064028 0.154876 0.342798 0.741492 1.537393 3.009301 5.860936
2025-06-15 0.057325 0.145979 0.337392 0.759192 1.630441 3.290781 6.596860
2025-06-22 0.049406 0.132684 0.320595 0.751055 1.671562 3.479820 7.181165
2025-06-29 0.044135 0.124583 0.313715 0.762818 1.754347 3.757025 7.960819
2025-07-06 0.037572 0.111796 0.294009 0.743258 1.768621 3.900118 8.491997
2025-07-13 0.034567 0.107682 0.294016 0.768537 1.882835 4.256737 9.484804
2025-07-20 0.032131 0.104603 0.296032 0.798779 2.011601 4.655879 10.601319
2025-07-27 0.028924 0.098598 0.289609 0.807489 2.091937 4.959567 11.545080
2025-08-03 0.025726 0.091872 0.280120 0.807033 2.150462 5.221115 12.421892
2025-08-10 0.022904 0.085641 0.270874 0.805761 2.206664 5.482507 13.321292
2025-08-17 0.020589 0.080496 0.263769 0.809087 2.274511 5.776482 14.318834
2025-08-24 0.018707 0.076360 0.258867 0.817712 2.356748 6.111307 15.437852